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Andy Katz way too early top 25

  • darlin16 said...

    Does anyone find it weird they list "Travis Trice" as a key returner? I might be mistaken but I'm pretty sure Trice won't even be starting. What about mentioning Payne or Nix before him. Seemed like an odd guy to list. But hopefully Trice does earn his way into a starting spot. I would be pleasantly surprised.

    Not odd at all. We could really use some depth at PG, and if Trice continues to develop, he's going to be a damn fine PG.

    tRCMB - Visit at your own risk of being disgusted.

    Gob_Bluth

  • spartans17 said...

    Well there is a difference between the two recruits. Harris is considered by some to be the best SG in the class and was a McD's All American. GRIII is not as highly regarded a player. Plus, Harris had better offers so he has that going for him as well.

    They were two very different players who had very different recruitment's. Harris has been a top level player for years, with early offers, etc., and did not commit until right on Signing Day.

    GR3 was a true sleeper when he committed, and grew and developed while he was already committed to Michigan.

    Bottom line is after their senior seasons and performances at post-season games, GR3 is ranked very similarly to Harris.

    Big M

  • spartans17 said...

    Harris is ranked as the #1 SG in the class according to Scout. GRIII is the #7 SF. Based on rankings, their offers, and highlights, there is little question that Harris appears to be the better player.

    That seems like a rather arbitrary metric to use, especially since Scout's rankings haven't been updated as recently as Rivals and ESPN.

    Big M

  • Big M said...

    They were two very different players who had very different recruitment's. Harris has been a top level player for years, with early offers, etc., and did not commit until right on Signing Day.

    GR3 was a true sleeper when he committed, and grew and developed while he was already committed to Michigan.

    Bottom line is after their senior seasons and performances at post-season games, GR3 is ranked very similarly to Harris.

    Harris was also Mr. Basketball in a crazy competitive state. How many votes did GRIII get again?

    Look, this really shouldn't be about who is the better player at this stage; based on any metric you wish to use, Harris comes on out top. Rated higher by Scout and ESPN, was a McD's All-American, played in the Jordan game, was Mr. Basketball and had much better offers. I haven't checked Rivals rankings, but even if GRIII is rated higher there, that is ALL you have to go on.

    spartans17

  • spartans17 said...

    Harris was also Mr. Basketball in a crazy competitive state. How many votes did GRIII get again?

    Look, this really shouldn't be about who is the better player at this stage; based on any metric you wish to use, Harris comes on out top. Rated higher by Scout and ESPN, was a McD's All-American, played in the Jordan game, was Mr. Basketball and had much better offers. I haven't checked Rivals rankings, but even if GRIII is rated higher there, that is ALL you have to go on.

    Since when is Mr.Basketball considered a reliable indicator of much of anything? Come on. Same with the McDonald's game.

    GR3 had a great post-season tournament performance and I imagine he will rise in Scout's rankings when they are re-done. As it stands now, he is higher on Rivals and a whopping 7 spots behind Harris on ESPN (#11 to #18). Is it really that hard to admit they are similar?

    Big M

  • How is OSU 8th? They lose two starters and are bringing in nobody.

    rchriste5

  • Spartan Punk said...

    So Wood doesn't count?

    I'd also add that we lost one of the top 3 best players in college basketball last year, not just the 2nd, 4th and 6th most important pieces. Too many of our fans think Green is going to be easy to be replaced. He won't be. We lost way more than um did.

    and we were also a lot better team who are gaining a lot more than UM is. and our strengths are in our younger guys who will improve. This team is DEEP - Michigan has Burke and Hardaway and some unproven freshmen. that's it. how in god's name is that the #5 team? I just don't get it.

    signature image

    boozhoo

  • Big M said...

    I do think UM is overrated at #5. But I think you are underrating the potential impact of GR3 a bit- now that all of the post season stuff is done, he is ranked basically right with Harris, who everyone on this board expects to make a big impact this year.

    except we don't NEED Gary Harris to play 35 minutes and be a freshman AA to have success. If GRIII doesn't do that you're an NIT team.

    It's utterly insane to me to base so much on so little.

    signature image

    boozhoo

  • boozhoo said...

    except we don't NEED Gary Harris to play 35 minutes and be a freshman AA to have success. If GRIII doesn't do that you're an NIT team.

    It's utterly insane to me to base so much on so little.

    You don't think Harris is very important to MSU success this year? And I do not think UM needs Robinson to average 35 minutes a game or anything insane like that. Not sure where you are getting that from.

    Big M

  • If Burke doesn't flirt with the NBA they are ranked around 10. They are getting a hype bump.

    PortlandSpartan

  • CoachDistheman said...

    I agree with your general premise, but think you are missing the boat on GR3 if you think he is just "decent". He is the best freshman talent they have had coming in since probably the 90's.

    Harris is better, but GR3 is in that conversation as an elite player.

    Unless he's Anthony Davis, there is no way in hell he's so good he can replace 3 players and make this a top ten team.

    signature image

    boozhoo

  • PortlandSpartan said...

    If Burke doesn't flirt with the NBA they are ranked around 10. They are getting a hype bump.

    I agree with that, and I also think it is a lot like pre-season football rankings- OH MY GOD THEIR BEST PLAYER IS BACK!! THEY ARE GOING TO BE SWEET!! I doubt these analysts have paid much attention to Novak and Douglass and what their departure means.

    Like I said, I think UM is overrated top 5 or possibly even top 10. My disagreement is the assertion that Michigan is a borderline NCAA team or something.

    Big M

  • Big M said...

    Since when is Mr.Basketball considered a reliable indicator of much of anything? Come on. Same with the McDonald's game.

    GR3 had a great post-season tournament performance and I imagine he will rise in Scout's rankings when they are re-done. As it stands now, he is higher on Rivals and a whopping 7 spots behind Harris on ESPN (#11 to #18). Is it really that hard to admit they are similar?

    LMAO. Are you out of your mind? So you think they just randomly pick these things? Oh right, an MSU recruit getting voted Mr. Basketball in a state loaded with talent is completely arbitrary. Your stupidity knows no bounds.

    They aren't similar. They play different positions, they have different strengths, different expectations, and one is widely considered to be a better player than the other. Must you make them similar just to justify the crazy expectations your fanbase will place on him?

    Just a tip: I know you guys aren't used to getting top 30 basketball recruits to sign with you, but they don't all end up as All Conference players right out the chute. Temper your expectations a bit, especially for a recruit whose best offer was Michigan. GRIII may end up the #1 pick in the 2013 draft for all I know.. but there are no indications of it, and whatever spin you will apply to this post is complete bullshit.

    spartans17

  • Big M said...

    You don't think Harris is very important to MSU success this year? And I do not think UM needs Robinson to average 35 minutes a game or anything insane like that. Not sure where you are getting that from.

    I didn't say he wasn't important, I said MSU is not going to have to rely on Harris anywhere near to the level that Michigan will w/ GR3. He will have to start for you and play 30+ minutes for you to have success. who else is going to play? you have 4 returning players who did anything this year. FOUR.

    signature image

    boozhoo

  • Spartan Punk said...

    You're not missing anything. You just have a different opinion of um's team next year than the national media does.

    Or just one guy. I'd be very surprised if the preseason polls come out and Michigan is at #5 not that they mean a damn thing in basketball anyway.

    animool

  • spartans17 said...

    LMAO. Are you out of your mind? So you think they just randomly pick these things? Oh right, an MSU recruit getting voted Mr. Basketball in a state loaded with talent is completely arbitrary. Your stupidity knows no bounds.

    They aren't similar. They play different positions, they have different strengths, different expectations, and one is widely considered to be a better player than the other. Must you make them similar just to justify the crazy expectations your fanbase will place on him?

    Just a tip: I know you guys aren't used to getting top 30 basketball recruits to sign with you, but they don't all end up as All Conference players right out the chute. Temper your expectations a bit, especially for a recruit whose best offer was Michigan. GRIII may end up the #1 pick in the 2013 draft for all I know.. but there are no indications of it, and whatever spin you will apply to this post is complete bullshit.

    I'm not saying Harris did not deserve Mr. Basketball. I'm not saying he did not deserve the McDonald's game. I'm simply saying a lot of times those things are political and I don't think it is accurate to automatically downgrade GR3 when every report from his senior season and post-season performance was that he was excelling.

    My only point, and one that you frankly have not disputed, is that in the rankings released after the season and post-season tournaments, GR3 is right there with Harris. That's it. I don't see why you cannot just concede that.

    Big M

  • Katz bases everything on 3 recruits. lol

    "After flirting with the NBA, Trey Burke decided to remain in Ann Arbor. That's huge for the Wolverines, who would've had a serious void at the point without the invaluable Burke. He will join Tim Hardaway Jr., and a loaded freshman class that includes ESPNU 100 recruits Mitch McGary, Glenn Robinson Jr., and Nik Stauskas. This team is loaded and as long as the newcomers blend in, there's no reason to believe Michigan can't compete at the highest level in both the Big Ten and nationally."

    what about the bench? who will back up Burke? Spike? This is not Michigan hatred, it's basic logic. putting them 5th after their flameouts this year in the BTT and NCAAs is sheer lunacy.

    signature image

    boozhoo

  • Before we even start talking about the Big Ten opponents. I am certain North Carolina, Duke, Kentucky, Kansas and Louisville will have better teams than Michigan next year.

    This post was edited by WBill19542 on 4/12/2012 at 4:12 PM

    WBill19542

  • Big M said...

    I'm not saying Harris did not deserve Mr. Basketball. I'm not saying he did not deserve the McDonald's game. I'm simply saying a lot of times those things are political and I don't think it is accurate to automatically downgrade GR3 when every report from his senior season and post-season performance was that he was excelling.

    My only point, and one that you frankly have not disputed, is that in the rankings released after the season and post-season tournaments, GR3 is right there with Harris. That's it. I don't see why you cannot just concede that.

    Alright, well then, the next question should be: does similar rankings mean that they are simliar players?

    Harris is ahead in the only rankings that most college basketball fans really care about: the Scout ones. And I don't particularly care for rankigns much at all anyways. My argument is with the contention that they are the same in terms of talent and potential. And based on overall body of work, from all-America games to offers to high school accolades, is that they are not. This isn't to say that GRIII is not a great player; he may well be, but Harris is in an elite class.

    spartans17

  • spartans17 said...

    Alright, well then, the next question should be: does similar rankings mean that they are simliar players?

    Harris is ahead in the only rankings that most college basketball fans really care about: the Scout ones. And I don't particularly care for rankigns much at all anyways. My argument is with the contention that they are the same in terms of talent and potential. And based on overall body of work, from all-America games to offers to high school accolades, is that they are not. This isn't to say that GRIII is not a great player; he may well be, but Harris is in an elite class.

    Ok, fine. I will say one more thing though- I think you are wrong on Scout rankings. That opinion was correct when Telep was there- but he is at ESPN, so I believe those are considered the best.

    Big M

  • Big M said...

    You don't think Harris is very important to MSU success this year? And I do not think UM needs Robinson to average 35 minutes a game or anything insane like that. Not sure where you are getting that from.

    Not nearly as important as GR III having a good year for Michigan. Between Trice, appling, valentine, and kearney, MSU should be just fine in the backcourt with an average year from Harris. I dont think the same can be said for Michigan and GR III.

    animool

  • Big M said...

    Ok, fine. I will say one more thing though- I think you are wrong on Scout rankings. That opinion was correct when Telep was there- but he is at ESPN, so I believe those are considered the best.

    You should have stopped there. He is higher in ESPN's rankings as well. Now if you want to argue that 7 spots is a trivial difference, then fine, but that would be like me saying that Nerlens Noel and Harris may as well be similar players as well. You can't spin everything Big M, let this one go.

    spartans17

  • spartans17 said...

    You should have stopped there. He is higher in ESPN's rankings as well. Now if you want to argue that 7 spots is a trivial difference, then fine, but that would be like me saying that Nerlens Noel and Harris may as well be similar players as well. You can't spin everything Big M, let this one go.

    I know he is- I said where they were ranked earlier in the thread. You really think there is a huge gap between the #11 and #18 player in the country?

    Big M

  • Burke will find it more difficult to do what he likes to do without Novak, Douglas and Smotrycz (who appeared poised to have a break out year) in the same way that Taylor did not look as effective without Luer and Nankivil while Hardaway is not going to like Robinson's game. Does anyone really doubt that UM will be a poorer defensive team next year? As for MSU which of these guys may have a much imroved and more consistent season next year - Dawson, Appling, Payne or Nix? At least two or them but more likely all of them. Harris appears ideally suited to fitting into a talented balanced team. The wild cards may be Valentine and Costello. Izzo says that Valentine will play four positions and has a chance to be an impact player his first year - what a luxury that would be if it pans out - and remember this is a guy who no prognosticator is figuring at all into their calculations. Costello with his size, skills and competitive aggressive nature is sure to make a few waves - he is not Gauna redux. Trice obviously is someone else who will improve, I look forward to seeing the real Alex Gauna but I make no predictions.

    Beastial

  • Big M said...

    Since when is Mr.Basketball considered a reliable indicator of much of anything? Come on. Same with the McDonald's game.

    GR3 had a great post-season tournament performance and I imagine he will rise in Scout's rankings when they are re-done. As it stands now, he is higher on Rivals and a whopping 7 spots behind Harris on ESPN (#11 to #18). Is it really that hard to admit they are similar?

    If you knew anything about the state of indiana and their mr basketball voting it is much more political than the state of michigan has ever been.

    The fact that Harris won that vote over Ferrell who is going to IU speaks volumes as to what people think of him. GR3 is a good ball player as well and to sit here and try to use recruiting services as justification to say they are close to each other is dumb.

    Simple solution find a tape of the their game this season...GR3 did his scoring when Harris wasn't guarding him and when they were 1 on 1 with each other Harris completely owned him all game long. I mean when it comes to sports actually playing against each other should mean more than what some 45 yr old short balding guy has to say about their games right?

    This post was edited by JRoss24 on 4/12/2012 at 5:02 PM

    JRoss24