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* MSU is now alone in first place, in both record and +/-
* Illinois is finally back on track: they've got two big games coming up (Sunday vs Michigan, next Thursday at MSU)
Love those green blocks on the road side. Need to win @Purdue and @Nebraska and hold at home. 4 losses should win it for us. @OSU would be gravy.
That graphic is freakin sweet.
Can someone explain the strength of schedule numbers to me?
Current = Sum of +/- of teams already played
Future = Sum of +/- of teams yet to play
Since when does winning 6 out of 7 = 100%
Does anyone on BTN.org even proofread their stuff?
Join Date: 06-12-2001 RCMB vBull #32 # Total Posts: 35,866
Purdue's RPI is 121! I guess that is what 7-6 will do in the non-conference.
I love this schedule. Thanks as always, Andy. A couple thoughts from this: 1) the win at Iowa is going to be huge eventually. They are only -1, have the easiest remaining schedule, and had a solid non-conference record. They could easily end up .500 or better in the conference and make the tourney. 2) I'm glad MSU, Indiana, and UM have a true round robin of home and away games. They are going to be epic. I would imagine the home game vs. UM will be the craziest Breslin has been in years.
this should be pinned. great resource.
"Put your mother in a straight-jacket you punk ass white boy." ~ Mike Tyson
Do the KP projected wins get updated? Seems pretty light for us.
Agreed. The +/- is the easiest way to keep track of the strength of each team's remaining league schedule.
We're currently 12-6 in his projections (by adding up the expected win probabilty of each game), or 11-7 by going strictly by the favorites.
His game-by-game odds for MSU victory:
L 16% - @ IU
W 80% - Illinois
L 47% - Minnesota
W 63% - @ Purdue
L 40% - Michigan
W 86% - @ Nebraska
L 38% - IU
L 26% - @ Ohio State
L 17% - @ Michigan
W 59% - Wisconsin
W 88% - Northwestern
His computer is not a big fan of MSU... too many close wins against horrible teams.
Yep, we actually went down in his rankings after beating OSU and PSU, while OSU went up.
Wow, home dogs to Indiana, Michigan, and Minnesota? 38% chance to beat Indiana. When was Indiana's last win at Breslin? 1992?
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