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Fred Garvin said...
Substitute host on DP show so caught a little of Colin yesterday. Segment on how the Big Ten's over-rated, "deep doesn't mean good", and then 'guaranteed' that everyone except Indiana will be gone by the end of the 3rd round.
I know, just an egotistical obnoxious radio guy doing his thing, stirring the pot. But then I started thinking about who else I would put into the Elite Eight besides us and IU and couldn't really come up with anybody: - SCum's lack of inside game has been exposed and the freshmen wilt in big games. They'll shoot themselves out of it within the first 3 rounds. - Minnesota's faltering badly and other than their victory over us at home they can't seem to finish. - Wisconsin - Bo. 'Nuff said. - Illinois - Some great wins, but don't seem them as good enough to put together a run. - OSU - This would seem to be the best hope outside of us and IU, but still nothing on offense besides Thomas and Matta's their coach.
I would like to see 3 B1G teams in the Elite Eight just to cap off a great year for the conference and prove the doubters wrong, but hate to admit that Cowherd might be right on this one except for us.
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Fletch said...
I guess there's no way to know for sure, is there? There are examples of teams like UConn making a long run from conference tournament all the way to the title, and there are others (like MSU last year perhaps) that run out of gas after expending a lot of energy.
Some coaches don't put much stock in saving legs during the course of the season (Thad Matta being one), while others like Izzo obviously do. He believes his style of basketball wears on players and he needs solid bench play to keep his stars fresh. Then, come tournament time, he ramps up the starter's playing time and the bench takes more of a back seat.
IMHO, after 30 or so games and who knows how many practices over five months in the toughest conference in the country there is a real risk of fatigue, even among 18-22 year old athletes. There is also the emotional energy expended. We saw how MSU responded emotionally this week against IU after burning up a lot of emotion the previous week against UM.
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Fletch said...
Totally agree.
I couldn't find data on how conference champions have fared traditionally in the tournament, but looking at how the BCS conference tournament champions did the past few years was interesting. 2012 was especially brutal for them, but in the previous two years they did pretty well. Something to think about when filling out sheets in a few weeks...
2012:
FSU: 2nd round Missouri:1st round loss Louisville: Championship game MSU: Sweet 16 Colorado: 2nd Round Vanderbilt: 2nd Round
2011:
Kentucky: Final 4 Washington: 2nd Round Duke: Sweet 16 UConn: Natl Champ Kansas: Elite 8 OSU: Sweet 16
2010:
Kentucky: Elite 8 WVA: Elite 8 Kansas: 2nd Round OSU: Sweet 16 Duke: Natl Champ Washington: Sweet 16
So in the past three years, 7 of the 18 major conference tournament champions have made the Elite 8. Not horrible, but also not great. I guess the numbers would be better if I hadn't considered the PAC 12 a legit conference, as they weigh down the numbers.
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Cosmo_Kramer
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Fred Garvin said...
Substitute host on DP show so caught a little of Colin yesterday. Segment on how the Big Ten's over-rated, "deep doesn't mean good", and then 'guaranteed' that everyone except Indiana will be gone by the end of the 3rd round.
I know, just an egotistical obnoxious radio guy doing his thing, stirring the pot. But then I started thinking about who else I would put into the Elite Eight besides us and IU and couldn't really come up with anybody: - SCum's lack of inside game has been exposed and the freshmen wilt in big games. They'll shoot themselves out of it within the first 3 rounds. - Minnesota's faltering badly and other than their victory over us at home they can't seem to finish. - Wisconsin - Bo. 'Nuff said. - Illinois - Some great wins, but don't seem them as good enough to put together a run. - OSU - This would seem to be the best hope outside of us and IU, but still nothing on offense besides Thomas and Matta's their coach.
I would like to see 3 B1G teams in the Elite Eight just to cap off a great year for the conference and prove the doubters wrong, but hate to admit that Cowherd might be right on this one except for us.
"No one cares what you know, until they know how much you care." Mark Dantonio
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JEK said...
I think 2 Big Ten teams in the EE is pretty much a lock (most likely IU and MSU). I think scUM has some issues but they probably aren't going to run into too many teams with a front court like ours, so the match ups could be in their favor. Ohio State, Wisky and Minny aren't elite Big Ten teams, but any of them could go on a run as well. They will all be battle tested. When you look at a team like Minny, it's all about their talent respective to who they play. I have a hard time believing they will run into too many teams before the EE with significantly better talent than them.
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Fletch said...
Totally agree.
I couldn't find data on how conference champions have fared traditionally in the tournament, but looking at how the BCS conference tournament champions did the past few years was interesting. 2012 was especially brutal for them, but in the previous two years they did pretty well. Something to think about when filling out sheets in a few weeks...
2012:
FSU: 2nd round Missouri:1st round loss Louisville: Championship game MSU: Sweet 16 Colorado: 2nd Round Vanderbilt: 2nd Round
2011:
Kentucky: Final 4 Washington: 2nd Round Duke: Sweet 16 UConn: Natl Champ Kansas: Elite 8 OSU: Sweet 16
2010:
Kentucky: Elite 8 WVA: Final 4 Kansas: 2nd Round OSU: Sweet 16 Duke: Natl Champ Washington: Sweet 16
So in the past three years, 7 of the 18 major conference tournament champions have made the Elite 8. Not horrible, but also not great. I guess the numbers would be better if I hadn't considered the PAC 12 a legit conference, as they weigh down the numbers.
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James McNulty ●
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COgruff said...
Not to mention because of the number of teams in the conference, a lot of the contenders only get each other once. Wisconsin is like that this year, but overall, the 3 main contenders go twice. I remember in '09 Louisville didn't have to play a bunch of the better teams on the road. Helped them get that overall 1 seed.
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Henry Steele said...
Perfect trolling. Flips off the fly over states, the big 10 and college basketball. His least favorite things, knowing full well it's going to generate multi page threads on those schools message boards. Generating eyeballs and ears. Great job, Colin.
The only time to listen to sports radio is when they have a guest on that is actually a particpant in the field of battle.
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Cowherd yesteday "B1G will get only IU into Elite Eight"