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scott91575 ●
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scott91575 said...
See above. ND is getting $15 million on their current NBC deal (plus they do get money from Big East basketball). You are looking at the old deal. You are also cutting out the middle man in that deal, which could easily be $7 million.
The national deal the BTN has could be totally reworked, and in fact would be if ND joined. You can bet that 10 cents nationally goes way up.
As much as we may not like it, ND does have the largest fanbase in all of college football. There is a ton of revenue to be added there, and adds a huge bargaining chip for the B10. You can't simply take all current contract numbers and extend them out. ND changes all the dynamics in the B10 and adds a huge bargaining chip. I am willing to bet they would easily cover the $22 million needed. Plus that $22 million includes bowls, basketball tournament, and licensing. Television (both basketball and football) is roughly $17 million. As I mentioned above the B10 teams make more, but it's not by much.
ErnieMcCracken ●
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wingfanjim said...
True, but that would probably be even better for BTN as adding additional interested viewers in high population states would. Especially because for what would essentially be a national sports network, $1.10 per subscriber is a reasonable rate. ESPN charges $4.69 per subscriber.
scott91575 ●
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scott91575 said...
You are assuming all contract stay the same. First of all, ND averages $15 million from their NBC contract (you are looking at old numbers). Second, you are assuming NBC gives all the money to ND. That doesn't happen either, and that in fact could be $44 million. In fact, the reason for the B10 getting so much money is not the fact the B10 Network rocks. It's because they get such a huge share of the revenue it brings, and it continues to grow over time. No team is getting as good of a deal as the teams in the B10 get from the B10 Network.
ND would grow the BTN nationally and would bring a larger contract from ABC/ESPN. You can't just go by current contracts. ND in the Big 10 would completely change the B10's bargaining position. It would easily make up for the $22 million needed to cover the addition of another team.
If you think ND doesn't bring more money to the B10, then there is absolutely no school outside of Texas that will bring anything to the B10.
Satellite providers are not simply going to roll over and give the same money they gave to other Big Ten schools if they add a crap team with no fanbase in a random non Big Ten state. These things are not set in stone for eternity.
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ErnieMcCracken said...
Not so fast on the largest comment.
http://thequad.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/09/19/the-geography-of-college-football-fans-and-realignment-chaos/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:+nyt/rss/Sports+(NYT+%3E+Sports)&seid=auto&smid=tw-nytimessports
scott91575 ●
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scott91575 said...
See above. ND is getting $15 million on their current NBC deal (plus they do get money from Big East basketball). You are looking at the old deal. You are also cutting out the middle man in that deal, which could easily be $7 million.
The national deal the BTN has could be totally reworked, and in fact would be if ND joined. You can bet that 10 cents nationally goes way up.
As much as we may not like it, ND does have the largest fanbase in all of college football. There is a ton of revenue to be added there, and adds a huge bargaining chip for the B10. You can't simply take all current contract numbers and extend them out. ND changes all the dynamics in the B10 and adds a huge bargaining chip. I am willing to bet they would easily cover the $22 million needed. Plus that $22 million includes bowls, basketball tournament, and licensing. Television (both basketball and football) is roughly $17 million. As I mentioned above the B10 teams make more, but it's not by much.
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wingfanjim said...
What the fuck is that gibberish? I already explained how and why BTN brings in so much money. And what is this stuff about NBC not giving all the money to ND? You aren't even making sense.
So you want to talk future contracts. Let's talk that. ND's ratings and performance have been SHIT. They aren't worth the $9M or the $15M they are getting from NBC now. ABC isn't going to open up their wallets for a team that hasn't performed up to the standard that merits big money like that for nearly 20 years. Do you think ABC is going to give the Big Ten an additional $150M over the next ten years to broadcast a team that's gone 2-9 in bowl games?
But for the sake of fun, I'll humor you. Let's say ND does bring in an additional $15M a year to the ABC contract. with likely only having 2 games per year actually on BTN, ND still isn't going to sell $29M in advertising on BTN to break even. Not in only two games they aren't.
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scott91575 ●
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scott91575 said...
There is a major flaw in that survey. The survey they used simply asked most loyal too. You and I both know people that pick their alma mater but are also ND fans. In fact, many ND fans are secondary fans. Heck, I live in Cincinnati. There are tons of UC fans who happen to also be ND fans. They would say UC first, but they will be sure to watch ND every week.
If you want to call ND 4th, sure, yet check out those random markets. They have a large number of fans in some of the largest markets where the B10 has no presence. So not only are they the largest fanbase not in the B10, they have more fans in large markets than any other team could bring.
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scott91575 ●
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scott91575 said...
I said, ok, let's take ND as 4th. I went with it. ND is still the #1 fanbase not in the B10. So it is bigger than any other fanbase we are discussing. I was pointing out an obvious flaw with the poll that you know is true. I don't have another poll, but let's face it, you can create a poll to make anything true if you word it right.
How about this. Of all the teams that the B10 could add, ND has the largest fanbase. Cool?
I love semantics.
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scott91575 ●
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scott91575 ●
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boozhoo
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Bob in Houston said...
BE: It's not one ND would consider for football.
B12 defections were the result of bad timing and bad location. When the Big Ten started all this, the Big 12 got clipped because several conferences could take teams and stay relatively close to their cores. If the B12 TV contract had been redone at that time (not that it was going to be), there would have been less incentive to leave. If the outline of the current deal had been in place, things would have been fine for everyone except the Aggies, who are still complaining about the LHN. OU would have gotten its money and Tier 3 deal, and David Boren would have been less inclined to act like an idiot, which set off Missouri.
It's cool that you're now picking on the B12 for style instead of substance.
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Bob in Houston said...
Did you read my post? More than any of the other options.
ND considers itself a "national" school. I don't necessarily agree with that either, but the thread is about what will happen to ND football. West doesn't work. SEC doesn't work. ACC will be depleted. That leaves the Big Ten and the Big 12. They don't get outside the Midwest in the Big Ten, but they will go to more regions in the B12. It's just the way it is.
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boozhoo said...
no...the B12 defections were because of one reason and one reason only: UT Austin's megalomania and refusal to share the riches. I don't see that changing anytime soon.
“Kansas may wind up number one in these polls, but that would be so unfair to Texas...” -- Len Elmore, 2/13/11
Bob in Houston
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GRR Spartan said...
ND see's itself as a Texas without the burden of being in a conference. Because the Big East was foolish enough to allow ND to get in with an everything except football clause, they have been able to keep their other programs alive. (Try being an independent in hoops, baseball, soffball etc)
What Bob in Houston says isn't born out by the facts. Nebraska, TAMU, Missouri had been chaffing about the Big 12 revenue split agreement for years. When rumors about a possible Longhorn Network started leaking it confirmed what direction the Big 12 was taking.
ND will still want preferential treatment and special football revenue arrangements because they are ND. That card can't be played in the Big Ten and doesn't look like it would fly in the ACC. PAC12 won't work due to geography. Doubtful ND football wants any part of being in the SEC so that leaves the Big 12 and Big East. Does anyone really think ND wants to be in a conference with a majority of its members in Texas?
The RCMB...is one of the most awful, alarming, inappropriate, disgusting, and offensive msg boards in the history of the internet.
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Notre Dame's independence: life support?