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tOfficial Red Wings offseason thread

  • wingfanjim said...

    Turd by Wing standards. This is a organization that wants to compete for cups and tries to gear itself as a cup contender year in and year out. By Wing standards, this year was a disappointment...aka a turd.

    I agree that Illitch won't do it because he is uber-loyal, but he should.

    It's funny. Every year we hear the same knee-jerk reaction. If Lidstrom makes $4.8 million (or pick your number) instead of $6 million, do the Wings get an single additional player that wins them this series? Not saying that's your point, but this is always, always, always, the first thing that's brought up at the end of the season.

    The Wings didn't lose in 5 games because Nicklas Lidstrom makes too much money. And that's the vibe a lot of people are giving off. They won't win just because Lidstrom takes a pay cut.

    They had a number of players who, for myriad reasons, did not produce when they were needed to. Was Lidstrom one? Sure. But out of all the skaters in the series, I'd note only Z as a standout player, and Pav had a few moments. That was about it.

    Anyone. Anyplace. Anytime.

    rookmsu

  • rookmsu said...

    It's funny. Every year we hear the same knee-jerk reaction. If Lidstrom makes $4.8 million (or pick your number) instead of $6 million, do the Wings get an single additional player that wins them this series? Not saying that's your point, but this is always, always, always, the first thing that's brought up at the end of the season.

    Your argument makes sense, but on the other hand Darren Helm is a $1.2 million player, or at least was. Wings got 1 goal out of the 3rd and 4th lines (and that was the 4th line). Helm could have completely changed the series had he not been injured.

    Only way Lidstrom takes a paycut is if it's on his terms, the Wings give him assurance of a front-office position, and they sign some big free agent with some of that cap-space.

    Batesianmimicry

  • rookmsu said...

    It's funny. Every year we hear the same knee-jerk reaction. If Lidstrom makes $4.8 million (or pick your number) instead of $6 million, do the Wings get an single additional player that wins them this series? Not saying that's your point, but this is always, always, always, the first thing that's brought up at the end of the season.

    The Wings didn't lose in 5 games because Nicklas Lidstrom makes too much money. And that's the vibe a lot of people are giving off. They won't win just because Lidstrom takes a pay cut.

    They had a number of players who, for myriad reasons, did not produce when they were needed to. Was Lidstrom one? Sure. But out of all the skaters in the series, I'd note only Z as a standout player, and Pav had a few moments. That was about it.

    Did I say I was blaming the season on Lidstrom? Not at all. That is you not understanding what I'm saying. I only said that, of all the players on the team, he probably had the widest gap in performance between salary earned and production this year. When you make that type of money, you are expected to produce. He didn't. Not to the necessary level.

    Besides, my comments aren't even aimed at this year. I'm looking to next year and the steps the wings need to take to be competitive. One of those things is they need to upgrade personnel. The Wings can't afford to do that paying Lidstrom the money he is making now. So either Lidstrom has to start playing like a $6M a year guy again or he's got to take less money to bring in more talent. That's just the way it is.

    wingfanjim

  • should be one of the more interesting offseasons in a while.

    "Put your mother in a straight-jacket you punk ass white boy." ~ Mike Tyson

    tig ol bitties19581

  • wingfanjim said...

    Basically, the deal is this. The Wings have about $20M in cap space. With that money they have to fill 4 frontline spots and 2 spots at the blue line. You can fill that space either by re-signing departing free agents, signing new free agents, or promoting from within. How would you do it?

    We'll do some promotion from within for Homer's spot, resign Helm and Abs for 3 of the 4. We then have to take care of Quincey (RFA), Stuart, and Liddy. We'll also probably shed some 3rd line cap in the form of Cleary or something, I don't know but I would think somebody would go. Production Line thinks it might be Fil if we move Gustav up top. Either way, we'll probably have around 17 million to fill a forward and 3 d spots, so we'll probably have to shed some players to get Suter, Parise, Liddy, and another D.

    Note: I know we pay Franzen about 5.5 for the next few years (which makes him untradeable), but since the deal is frontloaded I think the cap is spread out and the cap hit is less than that.

    This post has been edited 2 times, most recently by Chilly on 4/22/2012 at 11:23 PM

    CapGeek.com :: It's a numbers game :: NHL :: Salary Cap Chart

    NHL salary cap calculator, buyout calculator, free agents and more!

    capgeek.com
    signature image

    Chilly

  • Chilly said...

    We'll do some promotion from within for Homer's spot, resign Helm and Abs for 3 of the 4. We then have to take care of Quincey (RFA), Stuart, and Liddy. We'll also probably shed some 3rd line cap in the form of Cleary or something, I don't know but I would think somebody would go. Production Line thinks it might be Fil if we move Gustav up top. Either way, we'll probably have around 17 million to fill a forward and 3 d spots, so we'll probably have to shed some players to get Suter, Parise, Liddy, and another D.

    Note: I know we pay Franzen about 5.5 for the next few years (which makes him untradeable), but since the deal is frontloaded I think the cap is spread out and the cap hit is lesser.

    cap hit is the average of the contract's value, thats why teams started giving out 8-12 year deals (Hossa, Keith, Kovalchuk, Franzen, etc.) His cap hit will be 3.9(ish) for the entire length, only thing that changes I believe is the buyout (which is based upon remaining money, but I could be wrong on that)

    Go Bears, Blackhawks, White Sox, and Pioneers. Just because I don't care doesn't mean I don't understand

    Yellowledbetter

  • wingfanjim said...

    Whether he led the team or not in points is irrelevant. You don't pay a guy a wage for his relative worth compared to his other teammates. You compare him to the whole league. And let's face it, Lidstrom did not earn his money this year. Just look at how he ranked among defensemen around the league.

    30th in points 12th in goals T-32nd in assists T-7 in Plus/Minus

    That's NOT $6M worth of performance. For the money, Ian White with 7 goals, 25 assists, 32 points and a +23 was MUCH more valuable to the Wings than Lidstrom this year making only $2.9M

    Did you watch him this year? He's still their best 1 on 1 defender, still makes the best tape to tape outlet pass of any D-man in the league. If not hurt he would have finished in the top 20 with the same points as Keith and Letang. Suddenly you're just looking at scoring stats? You must love love Mark Streit, 9th in scoring for D-men and a minus 27.

    The problem with the Wings is their other D. Kronwall is good, White was good, but did you see what happened to his play and stats when Lidstrom was out? And the rest......

    Stuart - horrible
    Quincey -bad
    Ericsson - soft and inconsistent
    Kindl - erratic

    Egotism is the anesthetic that dulls the pain of stupidity. - Frank Leahy.-- If you're going to be stupid, be smart about it. - Mike Milbury

    Bullwrinkle

  • wingfanjim said...

    Parise is likely to get at least $8M, Suter at least another $6M and Nash makes $7.5M. That puts the Wings WAY over the cap with a lot of roster spots to fill.

    They aren't going to sign both Parise and Suter, there's less than a chance 10% they get one of them. They have to trade for Nash, so salary goes back to Columbus. The problem isn't cap space, it's a complete lack of free agent talent after Parise and Suter. Thank God you aren't the GM.

    This post was edited by Bullwrinkle on 4/23/2012 at 6:40 AM

    Egotism is the anesthetic that dulls the pain of stupidity. - Frank Leahy.-- If you're going to be stupid, be smart about it. - Mike Milbury

    Bullwrinkle

  • Batesianmimicry said...

    Your argument makes sense, but on the other hand Darren Helm is a $1.2 million player, or at least was. Wings got 1 goal out of the 3rd and 4th lines (and that was the 4th line). Helm could have completely changed the series had he not been injured.

    Only way Lidstrom takes a paycut is if it's on his terms, the Wings give him assurance of a front-office position, and they sign some big free agent with some of that cap-space.

    Helm could have completely changed the series? huh

    Nashville didn't have Hal Gill at all in the series if he was playing he could have completely changed the series. Whoops that's right they won the series.

    RockyWeakSauce

  • Bullwrinkle said...

    Did you watch him this year? He's still their best 1 on 1 defender, still makes the best tape to tape outlet pass of any D-man in the league. If not hurt he would have finished in the top 20 with the same points as Keith and Letang. Suddenly you're just looking at scoring stats? You must love love Mark Streit, 9th in scoring for D-men and a minus 27.

    The problem with the Wings is their other D. Kronwall is good, White was good, but did you see what happened to his play and stats when Lidstrom was out? And the rest......

    Stuart - horrible
    Quincey -bad
    Ericsson - soft and inconsistent
    Kindl - erratic

    Big E was debatably our best defenseman in the series... And that's saying a lot because I usually hate him with a passion.

    TerryLove

  • Bullwrinkle said...

    They aren't going to sign both Parise and Suter, there's less than a chance 10% they get one of them. They have to trade for Nash, so salary goes back to Columbus. The problem isn't cap space, it's a complete lack of free agent talent after Parise and Suter. Thank God you aren't the GM.

    No chance we trade for Nash (let alone Columbus trades him to a divisional opponent). We would have to drain our system of any remaining talent in the prospect pool to go along with a plethora of draft picks.

    TerryLove

  • Bullwrinkle said...

    They aren't going to sign both Parise and Suter, there's less than a chance 10% they get one of them. They have to trade for Nash, so salary goes back to Columbus. The problem isn't cap space, it's a complete lack of free agent talent after Parise and Suter. Thank God you aren't the GM.

    Outside of NJ we seem to be the favorite for Parise. This has been said by many national writers. Parise and Suter are boys so they may sign together. Nashville will probably make resigning Weber their priority who will be a $9+ Mil player. They also have young talent in Kline and Josi so they make evaulate Suter to me an affordable loss.

    signature image

    Eggy

  • Batesianmimicry said...
    Only way Lidstrom takes a paycut is if it's on his terms, the Wings give him assurance of a front-office position, and they sign some big free agent with some of that cap-space.

    Pay him what he wants for another year or two, then let him move back to Sweden with his family. See if he's interested in working with Hakan Andersson so we have his successor in place.

    This post has been edited 2 times, most recently by BoilerRoom on 4/23/2012 at 8:59 AM

    BoilerRoom

  • BoilerRoom said...

    Pay him what he wants for another year or two, then let him move back to Sweden with his family. See if he's interested in working with Hakan Andersson so we have his successor in place.

    I would offer him that NOW. He's always wanted to go back to Sweden. Give him a front office job scouting in Europe. He's happy, the wings have cap room, and the rebuilding process can happen.

    wingfanjim

  • Bullwrinkle said...

    They aren't going to sign both Parise and Suter, there's less than a chance 10% they get one of them. They have to trade for Nash, so salary goes back to Columbus. The problem isn't cap space, it's a complete lack of free agent talent after Parise and Suter. Thank God you aren't the GM.

    I wasn't arguing FOR Nash. Quite opposite actually. I was merely responding to another poster.

    wingfanjim

  • Bullwrinkle said...

    Did you watch him this year? He's still their best 1 on 1 defender, still makes the best tape to tape outlet pass of any D-man in the league. If not hurt he would have finished in the top 20 with the same points as Keith and Letang. Suddenly you're just looking at scoring stats? You must love love Mark Streit, 9th in scoring for D-men and a minus 27.

    The problem with the Wings is their other D. Kronwall is good, White was good, but did you see what happened to his play and stats when Lidstrom was out? And the rest......

    Stuart - horrible
    Quincey -bad
    Ericsson - soft and inconsistent
    Kindl - erratic

    And how many more points would Letang and Keith had if they had been healthy too? Yeah Lidstrom had 34 points, but he only played in 70 games. Boo hoo. Kieth had 40 points in only 74 games and Letang had 42 points in only 51 games. Extrapolated over an 82 game season, both those players were much better than Lidstrom and it isn't really close. So stop making excuses trying to justify Lidstrom making #1 defenseman money with second line production.

    wingfanjim

  • wingfanjim said...

    And how many more points would Letang and Keith had if they had been healthy too? Yeah Lidstrom had 34 points, but he only played in 70 games. Boo hoo. Kieth had 40 points in only 74 games and Letang had 42 points in only 51 games. Extrapolated over an 82 game season, both those players were much better than Lidstrom and it isn't really close. So stop making excuses trying to justify Lidstrom making #1 defenseman money with second line production.

    Using point production as the measure of a defenseman's worth is a serious problem with your argument. He was still an extremely critical part of the team and I'd say his lack of point production has more to do with the poor play of the forwards on the power play than any decline in his play.

    I do struggle with one more year of Lidstrom making $6 million potentially costing the Wings 7 years of Suter and Parise. I do think Bullwrinkle underestimates the likelihood of the Wings getting both.

    1. There have been plenty of rumors that Parise wants to come here.
    2. Suter and Parise were said to have become friends in Vancouver despite playing for rival teams.
    3. Suter played for Babcock in Vancouver.

    Lidstrom clearly cannot be paid $6 million if the Wings are to make that kind of splash in free agency.

    PRStoetzer

  • PRStoetzer said...

    Using point production as the measure of a defenseman's worth is a serious problem with your argument. He was still an extremely critical part of the team and I'd say his lack of point production has more to do with the poor play of the forwards on the power play than any decline in his play.

    I do struggle with one more year of Lidstrom making $6 million potentially costing the Wings 7 years of Suter and Parise. I do think Bullwrinkle underestimates the likelihood of the Wings getting both.

    1. There have been plenty of rumors that Parise wants to come here.
    2. Suter and Parise were said to have become friends in Vancouver despite playing for rival teams.
    3. Suter played for Babcock in Vancouver.

    Lidstrom clearly cannot be paid $6 million if the Wings are to make that kind of splash in free agency.

    Point production, in my eyes is what separates the good from the great. Especially if we are talking about a player who is expected to be on the first defensive pairing as well as he first team power play. Also, that's what makes you earn a salary equivalent to 10% of the cap.

    I never said Lidstrom still isn't a good defenseman. He had decent offensive production and was solid defensively, but be honest, for someone making as much as he does, you need more than that out of him to justify devoting that much of your resources to him.

    If you are paying for greatness then you better get greatness.

    wingfanjim

  • Bruce Banner Ad said...

    I'll be surprised if they keep Miller. Always like having Spartans on the squad, but Drew didn't do much this year.

    They've got to keep Abs.

    How drunk we're you when you posted this?

    Drew is signed thru next year $837,500

    Miller had 14 goals 4 GW goals total of 25 PTA Abs 8 goals 1 GW total 22 pts. Miller is also a tremendous Penalty Killer. Miller is way faster and has better hands. Also miller had 66 blocks to Abs 42. Abs hits way more and usually ends up on the ice as well, I don't think he's a very good skater. Ab's a servicable 4th line center but not very good face offs. I think tWings have gotten more out of him than even they expected but to say he's valuable than Miller is a stretch! Plus, Drew has better bloodlines

    Narwhal

  • Parise is got $6M from NJ this season even if he wants to come to the Red Wings he's going to be a $7M-8M player

    Same for Suter plus WOTS is Yzerman/ TB Lightening covet him and if Nashville goes into the semi's or finals they might open up their wallets too.

    Miller is under contract and for $837.5 he's a good value. Abdelkader is a restricted free agent so he'll be bumped to a 3 year contract and depending on who else is interesed might exceed what the Wings want to pay him.

    I'm with PR regarding Lidstrom. IF he wants to come back his value on the power play and the way he plays position defense 5 on 5 is more than some here will admit. He's also a good locker room guy. But if he decides to come back its going to be a balancing act to get the free agents they might need (like a Parise and another defensemen) Of the free agent defensemen Suter is the prize since Weber is a restricted free agent.

    GRR Spartan

  • PRStoetzer said...

    1. There have been plenty of rumors that Parise wants to come here.

    I've heard more rumors that he's interested in Minnesota, because I think his dad lives there and he wants to be closer to him.

    Tek Jansen

  • T-Pain said...

    Bottom line

    The Wings need to sign Parise, Suter AND trade for Rick Nash

    bottom line

    there is a -% chance nash plays in detroit with those other 2...if we can get 1 that would be good. we're going after the top 2 free agents in a shit free agent class...everyone is going to want those 2 and it's going to take some serious money to get them. I think we'd be much better served to get Suter this offseason and someone like travis moen and then stick with what we've got for 1 more year and develop the younger talent like sheahan and nyquist to play larger roles in 2013-2014...lids will be gone to free up money, cleary, and filp's contracts will be up and the 2013 and 2014 summer free agent classes are absolutely loaded with forwards

    This post was edited by Big Fella on 4/23/2012 at 11:25 AM

    Big Fella

  • Big Fella said...

    bottom line

    there is a -% chance nash plays in detroit with those other 2...if we can get 1 that would be good. we're going after the top 2 free agents in a shit free agent class...everyone is going to want those 2 and it's going to take some serious money to get them. I think we'd be much better served to get Suter this offseason and someone like travis moen and then stick with what we've got for 1 more year and develop the younger talent like sheahan and nyquist to play larger roles in 2013-2014...lids will be gone to free up money, cleary, and filp's contracts will be up and the 2013 free agent class is absolutely loaded with forwards

    Travis Moen sucks

    TPain151807

  • Tek Jansen said...

    I've heard more rumors that he's interested in Minnesota, because I think his dad lives there and he wants to be closer to him.

    Great career choice - play w/ a bunch of NHL castoffs hoping to sneak into the playoffs.

    Narwhal

  • T-Pain said...

    Travis Moen sucks

    good depth for 3rd or 4th line. the wings aren't going to find all the answers this year. they just need to take a year to clear cap and go hard in summer 2013. the reality is our cap situation won't allow us to make a run at the big pieces we want right now. next year would be a great year to develop our younger players. if everyone else we have now is healthy we can still be a contender next year with adding suter. then we can reload that summer and be set for quite a while

    Big Fella