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Gaia "scientist" James Lovelock admits he was climate alarmist

  • CVSpartan said...

    Finally, the motives of many of the cultists are coming under fire. Gore has made millions on it. The scientists who advance the claims have received millions in grants to research it. What possible motive would they have to admit they were wrong if new evidence arose to prove this?

    First off, I really don't understand why people have a problem with Gore making money. Isn't that what capitalism is all about? There are people out there making millions from all sorts of crap. You may not like what he is selling but doesn't he have the right to sell it?

    Do you have any idea how grants and contracts work? Do you honestly think that million dollar research grants go to the pockets of the scientist themselves? They may get a fraction of their salary paid and maybe travel expenses but the bulk of the money goes to pay for equipment, staff, graduate students, sub-contractors, overhead, etc. They are certainly not making massive profits and living the life of luxury.

    If new evidence arose to "prove" them wrong then I would expect them to critique the new data, verify the results themselves, look at their own data and see how they might have been misled and carry on. If the data showed they were wrong, then there would be funding available to investigate the next possible explanation. The motivation is the next challenge.

    What possible motive would executives of fossil fuel based companies have to admit they were wrong regarding their company's impact on climate?

    Research is what I am doing when I don’t know what I am doing - Werner von Braun

    Green Genes

  • GreenSpartan said...

    1. You're right. Scientists tend not to engage in group think, therefore it's pretty much impossible to create a conspiracy involving thousands of scientists from around the globe in many different fields with many different political view points.

    2. It's not "largely based on computer modeling". Try again. (Besides, the models have been quite accurate.) See links 3 and 4.

    3. The changes are far less costly than doing nothing. See links 1 and 2.

    1. The opinions of Scientists who are not climatologists or are an expert in a related field have no more weight than those of a layman who have has read about it. To say otherwise is a logical fallacy.

    2. In fact the predictions of the future impact of "climate change" are exclusively made by computer models. How else could they do it? Do they use mediums?

    3. The cost of making changes have been consistently understated and the costs of doing nothing are inflated based on the worst case scenarios of true warmists pursuing it with zeal. See Dr. Hanson. If there was ever a zealot he is one. Spends a lot of his time participating in demonstrations. This is not part of the scientific method. It is evironmental extremism.

    Συν ται η επι ται! Syn tai e epi tai! Ή ταν ή επί τας! E tan i epi tas!

    CVSpartan

  • CVSpartan said...

    1. The opinions of Scientists who are not climatologists or are an expert in a related field have no more weight than those of a layman who have has read about it. To say otherwise is a logical fallacy.

    2. In fact the predictions of the future impact of "climate change" are exclusively made by computer models. How else could they do it? Do they use mediums?

    3. The cost of making changes have been consistently understated and the costs of doing nothing are inflated based on the worst case scenarios of true warmists pursuing it with zeal. See Dr. Hanson. If there was ever a zealot he is one. Spends a lot of his time participating in demonstrations. This is not part of the scientific method. It is evironmental extremism.

    1. At this point I have no idea what you're talking about.

    2. Read the links.

    3. Again, refer to the links. You provided an unsupported assertion (logical fallacy) while I linked to research.

    4. Your attack ad hominem (logical fallacy) of Hanson has nothing to do with the research on the costs of action compared to the costs of inaction or the quality of his research.

    You do understand that 97% of practicing climatologists say we're changing the climate, right?

    Scientists Agree Human-induced Global Warming Is Real, Survey Says

    A broad poll of experts taken by earth scientists finds that the vast majority of climatologists and other earth scientists believe in global warming and think human activity is a factor for the temperature rise. This survey dispels lingering doubts by some of a consensus among the scientists.

    www.sciencedaily.com

    I'm worth a million in prizes. 8k posts on the old board. Member since 1999.

    GreenSpartan

  • CVSpartan said...

    1. Who is "the science"? Science refers to the scientific method. It is not a group of politicized like minded scientists engaging in groupthink.

    2. Since it is largely based on computer modeling of incredibly complicated weather patterns and climatic forces that are not fully understood I am far more skeptical regarding "the science" than you appear to be. Even if they are correct that these naturally occuring greenhouse gasses are caused by carbon emissions then the next question is do these cost of making these radical changes exceed the benefits of the small reduction in temps that they may or may not achieve?

    3. So do you think that the climate change skeptics are the moral equivalent of holocaust deniers?

    4. P.S. Are you a climatologist?

    1. "the science" that I'm referring to, is not a who, it's a what. A collection of research and findings spanning decades. And you are right, scientists do not tend to engage in groupthink. This is a good thing
    2. Well, I would direct you to the scientific lit on this subject. I believe cost/benefit analyses have been run and they show that it is in our interest to engage in conservation, develop alternatives and sequester carbon vs business as usual.
    3. No. And I have no idea why you would ask a question like that.
    4. no

    This post was edited by RP McMurphy on 5/22/2012 at 8:12 AM

    I must be crazy to be in a loony bin like this.

    RP McMurphy

  • CVSpartan said...

    1. The opinions of Scientists who are not climatologists or are an expert in a related field have no more weight than those of a layman who have has read about it. To say otherwise is a logical fallacy.

    2. In fact the predictions of the future impact of "climate change" are exclusively made by computer models. How else could they do it? Do they use mediums?

    3. The cost of making changes have been consistently understated and the costs of doing nothing are inflated based on the worst case scenarios of true warmists pursuing it with zeal. See Dr. Hanson. If there was ever a zealot he is one. Spends a lot of his time participating in demonstrations. This is not part of the scientific method. It is evironmental extremism.

    1. Untrue, many other scientists are at least trained to recognize potential flaws in some basic methodology, including statistical analysis.
    3. You keep making statements like this. I'd love for you to supply some links.

    I must be crazy to be in a loony bin like this.

    RP McMurphy

  • As Green Genes said almost no money actually goes to the scientist himself. Actually, I can't say I have personally seen a scientist get any money from the grant besides the move that goes to the schools/institution(overhead), supplies, data production, and a few graduate students or lab techs. The professor/PI is paid via the school/institution. Also, to produce any data that is published it has to go through a peer review process. And if it is a gov't agency, often times it will have to go through an internal review process before it will even be published. These review will critique the data and decide whether it is publishable or not. Now, I think this would be a huge conspiracy theory if you are saying that between all those reviews and processes that people published forged or misconstrued data just to support a belief system. Now there a definitely some smaller journals that will publish weaker data but they are not as well regarded and probably wont see too many articles discuss what they did since they wont be highly cited or highly regarded.

    signature image signature image signature image

    Spartzilla

  • CVSpartan said...

    1. The opinions of Scientists who are not climatologists or are an expert in a related field have no more weight than those of a layman who have has read about it. To say otherwise is a logical fallacy.
    ...

    I am microbiologist, and plenty people in this field like to try and connect dots with our field and global climate change. Does this make them not trustworthy if they produce data that they feel points towards climate change? Microbiology and climate change are pretty far apart, yet if you read some paper from people doing modeling and other studies within the field they often just to connect the two concepts.

    signature image signature image signature image

    Spartzilla

  • The planet has survived for billions of years. It will survive billions more.

    What is that, a Titleist? A hole in one...

    Cosmo_Kramer

  • Spartzilla said...

    As Green Genes said almost no money actually goes to the scientist himself. Actually, I can't say I have personally seen a scientist get any money from the grant besides the move that goes to the schools/institution(overhead), supplies, data production, and a few graduate students or lab techs. The professor/PI is paid via the school/institution. Also, to produce any data that is published it has to go through a peer review process. And if it is a gov't agency, often times it will have to go through an internal review process before it will even be published. These review will critique the data and decide whether it is publishable or not. Now, I think this would be a huge conspiracy theory if you are saying that between all those reviews and processes that people published forged or misconstrued data just to support a belief system. Now there a definitely some smaller journals that will publish weaker data but they are not as well regarded and probably wont see too many articles discuss what they did since they wont be highly cited or highly regarded.

    Faculty at universities are often on a 9 month appointment so they are technically not paid over the summer. They often pay themselves a month or two summer salary since they are actually working during that time. Scientists at research institutes are often on what's called soft money and have to obtain all or part of their salary from grants and contracts.

    Research is what I am doing when I don’t know what I am doing - Werner von Braun

    Green Genes

  • Cosmo_Kramer said...

    The planet has survived for billions of years. It will survive billions more.

    Christ, Kosmo. We get it. But that isn't the point, is it?

    I must be crazy to be in a loony bin like this.

    RP McMurphy

  • Spartzilla said...

    I am microbiologist, and plenty people in this field like to try and connect dots with our field and global climate change. Does this make them not trustworthy if they produce data that they feel points towards climate change? Microbiology and climate change are pretty far apart, yet if you read some paper from people doing modeling and other studies within the field they often just to connect the two concepts.

    Microbes have a significant impact on climate change - both good and bad. Many of the potential solutions are going to involve microbes.

    Society for General Microbiology | About Microbiology - Microbes and climate change

    http://www.microbiologyonline.org.uk/about-microbiology/microbes-and-climate-change

    www.microbiologyonline.org.uk

    Research is what I am doing when I don’t know what I am doing - Werner von Braun

    Green Genes

  • R.P. McMurphy said...

    Christ, Kosmo. We get it. But that isn't the point, is it?

    Then what is?

    What is that, a Titleist? A hole in one...

    Cosmo_Kramer

  • Cosmo_Kramer said...

    Then what is?

    huhfacepalm_msu

    I must be crazy to be in a loony bin like this.

    RP McMurphy

  • Green Genes said...

    Microbes have a significant impact on climate change - both good and bad. Many of the potential solutions are going to involve microbes.

    My comment was geared at asking CV whether he felt that because a microbiologist isn't a climatologist that they were capable of talking about global climate change. Having worked now at the EPA for a while, I am well aware the connections between the fields and the impact we see every day from microbes. Also, I may be wrong the pay for professor. From my experience with my PI, he was paid a salary say $80,000. He could choose to have that $80,000 paid during the school year or over a 12 month period. From my knowledge of talking to him and reading the grants he didn't put any money towards himself for summer pay. Most of it went to paying for the graduate student to stay on during the summer months, supplies, overhead, and other data analysis/experiment needs. Now, It could be different else where but that is my experience at the two schools I have been apart of. Obviously at the EPA, the PI takes 0 money towards himself as far as pay. However, this isn't a big deal and we are arguing a fine detail. I still think it is crazy for anyone to say some of the things.

    Cosmo, you are correct the earth will go on. I don't think anyone is question that. Unless a meteor hits us or something then we are screwed. Question is will our impact now effect the future lives that our children and future generations live in a negative way. I am sure the microbes will be fine. They always adapt.

    This post was edited by Spartzilla on 5/22/2012 at 4:05 PM

    signature image signature image signature image

    Spartzilla

  • Spartzilla said...

    My comment was geared at asking CV whether he felt that because a microbiologist isn't a climatologist that they were capable of talking about global climate change. Having worked now at the EPA for a while, I am well aware the connections between the fields and the impact we see every day from microbes. Also, I may be wrong the pay for professor. From my experience with my PI, he was paid a salary say $80,000. He could choose to have that $80,000 paid during the school year or over a 12 month period. From my knowledge of talking to him and reading the grants he didn't put any money towards himself for summer pay. Most of it went to paying for the graduate student to stay on during the summer months. Now, It could be different else where but that is my experience at the two schools I have been apart of. Obviously at the EPA, the PI takes 0 money towards himself as far as pay. However, this isn't a big deal and we are arguing a fine detail. I still think it is crazy for anyone to say some of the things.

    Cosmo, you are correct the earth will go on. I don't think anyone is question that. Unless a meteor hits us or something then we are screwed. Question is will our impact now effect the future lives that our children and future generations live in a negative way. I am sure the microbes will be fine. They always adapt.

    I don't think anyone has said the world will cease to exist due to global warming. I think the general viewpoint is that life as it exists now will cease to exist. Mankind may or may not survive in some form. Only time will tell on that score. Microbes, yeah I think you are right. They will adapt and continue. At least until the sun goes nova and wipes out all the inner planets that is.

    Madhatter536

  • R.P. McMurphy said...

    huhfacepalm_msu

    Exactly. There is no point. It's a farce, like half the people's arguments in Wells.

    What is that, a Titleist? A hole in one...

    Cosmo_Kramer

  • Spartzilla said...

    My comment was geared at asking CV whether he felt that because a microbiologist isn't a climatologist that they were capable of talking about global climate change. Having worked now at the EPA for a while, I am well aware the connections between the fields and the impact we see every day from microbes. Also, I may be wrong the pay for professor. From my experience with my PI, he was paid a salary say $80,000. He could choose to have that $80,000 paid during the school year or over a 12 month period. From my knowledge of talking to him and reading the grants he didn't put any money towards himself for summer pay. Most of it went to paying for the graduate student to stay on during the summer months, supplies, overhead, and other data analysis/experiment needs. Now, It could be different else where but that is my experience at the two schools I have been apart of. Obviously at the EPA, the PI takes 0 money towards himself as far as pay. However, this isn't a big deal and we are arguing a fine detail. I still think it is crazy for anyone to say some of the things.

    Cosmo, you are correct the earth will go on. I don't think anyone is question that. Unless a meteor hits us or something then we are screwed. Question is will our impact now effect the future lives that our children and future generations live in a negative way. I am sure the microbes will be fine. They always adapt.

    Yes, I know what you were saying about microbes and climate change. You were not likely to get a straight response from CV and I took the opportunity to inject a little science since I happened to have that particular SGM pamphlet on my desk at the time.

    Yes, the details of how grants are spent is trivial but the general public has so many misconceptions about funding and where the money really goes. If a PI is on a 9 month appointment, even if he/she spreads the payments over 12 months, that pay is for the work they did during the academic year and not during the summer so they certainly have the right to seek salary for the work they do during the summer. Whether the PI includes summer salary in their grants can depend on a lot of factors ranging from their university contract to the funding agency they are working with.

    Research is what I am doing when I don’t know what I am doing - Werner von Braun

    Green Genes

  • Spartzilla said...

    I am microbiologist, and plenty people in this field like to try and connect dots with our field and global climate change. Does this make them not trustworthy if they produce data that they feel points towards climate change? Microbiology and climate change are pretty far apart, yet if you read some paper from people doing modeling and other studies within the field they often just to connect the two concepts.

    I did not make this up. It is long established tenet of logical thinking known as the fallacy called "Appeal to Authority"

    Here is the link. http://www.nizkor.org/features/fallacies/appeal-to-authority.html

    I would not say your opinion has no value. However, it does not have the same weight as that of an expert in climatology or closely related field.

    Συν ται η επι ται! Syn tai e epi tai! Ή ταν ή επί τας! E tan i epi tas!

    CVSpartan

  • With that rational much of science and medicine as we know it today would not exist because the claims people made would not be worth enough for anyone to feel they need to investigate or listen. The concept behind that idea is very nice. It makes sense. However, in my opinion, science is much more interdisciplinary. Many of the fields are connected in ways fair beyond what the average human thinks about. Environmental microbiology is deeply tied with climate change and ecosystems, but according to you the only real data they can discuss is that of the microbe. Yet, to fully understand the scoop of what is happening with your project you often happen to discuss biogeochemical cycles, waste remediation, disease, and other things. This is why papers will include multiple different professors that helped collaborate and talk on the project. But I still think the value of what they are saying is worth something.

    Now in the scoop of applying this rational to this conversation, it is a little more useful. But if you use that rational you must not have many conversation because no one is an expert in everything. This is why you must take what people say with a grain of salt. Apply what they say and research it. Many of the people arguing global climate change on here have provided papers and solid articles discussing why it is relevant. If you please I can also provide plenty of articles published in highly reputable journals (from people who's PhD is in a relative field) discussing why you should care. Now if someone is reading these types of journal/articles on a consistent basis I would be willing to listen to them. Generally, they will be fairly well informed on the topic. Most people arguing for global climate change (the ones I have met) are pretty knowledgeable people. They argue because they have a grasp on what they are reading and are fairly knowledgeable in the area. The ones that are not A) don't care, B) don't understand, or C) choose to go on with what they are doing until it changes. If someone in this conversation has said something overly outlandish that contradicts what the currently state of science is saying please call them out. There are always a few extreme examples, but if anything your argument is only a way to protect yourself against something you don't care to believe.

    signature image signature image signature image

    Spartzilla

  • Spartzilla said...

    With that rational much of science and medicine as we know it today would not exist because the claims people made would not be worth enough for anyone to feel they need to investigate or listen. The concept behind that idea is very nice. It makes sense. However, in my opinion, science is much more interdisciplinary. Many of the fields are connected in ways fair beyond what the average human thinks about. Environmental microbiology is deeply tied with climate change and ecosystems, but according to you the only real data they can discuss is that of the microbe. Yet, to fully understand the scoop of what is happening with your project you often happen to discuss biogeochemical cycles, waste remediation, disease, and other things. This is why papers will include multiple different professors that helped collaborate and talk on the project. But I still think the value of what they are saying is worth something.

    Now in the scoop of applying this rational to this conversation, it is a little more useful. But if you use that rational you must not have many conversation because no one is an expert in everything. This is why you must take what people say with a grain of salt. Apply what they say and research it. Many of the people arguing global climate change on here have provided papers and solid articles discussing why it is relevant. If you please I can also provide plenty of articles published in highly reputable journals (from people who's PhD is in a relative field) discussing why you should care. Now if someone is reading these types of journal/articles on a consistent basis I would be willing to listen to them. Generally, they will be fairly well informed on the topic. Most people arguing for global climate change (the ones I have met) are pretty knowledgeable people. They argue because they have a grasp on what they are reading and are fairly knowledgeable in the area. The ones that are not A) don't care, B) don't understand, or C) choose to go on with what they are doing until it changes. If someone in this conversation has said something overly outlandish that contradicts what the currently state of science is saying please call them out. There are always a few extreme examples, but if anything your argument is only a way to protect yourself against something you don't care to believe.

    Here is an analogy. You have two close friends. One is a master plumber and the other is a licensed electrician. You, like me, are extremely challenged in matters of plumbing. You are trying to install a toliet and have been struggling for days to get the damn thing to stop leaking. Which friend are you going to ask first for advice?

    This post was edited by CVSpartan on 5/24/2012 at 2:54 AM

    Συν ται η επι ται! Syn tai e epi tai! Ή ταν ή επί τας! E tan i epi tas!

    CVSpartan

  • R.P. McMurphy said...

    1. Untrue, many other scientists are at least trained to recognize potential flaws in some basic methodology, including statistical analysis. 3. You keep making statements like this. I'd love for you to supply some links.

    I am shocked that you Warmists are completely ignorant of the arguments made by the climate change skeptics. Have you been living in caves the last several years?

    Here is a good site by a critic of the statistical analyses made by leading warmists. He does not claim to be a climatologist. He is a recognized expert in statistical analysis.

    http://climateaudit.org/

    Here is another website I just found. Can't vouch for it. Seems to touch on the main points of the skeptics anyway. Do your own research on the skeptics and explain why are they are wrong if you don't like it.

    http://www.climategate.com/

    Συν ται η επι ται! Syn tai e epi tai! Ή ταν ή επί τας! E tan i epi tas!

    CVSpartan

  • CVSpartan said...

    I am shocked that you Warmists are completely ignorant of the arguments made by the climate change skeptics. Have you been living in caves the last several years?

    Here is a good site by a critic of the statistical analyses made by leading warmists. He does not claim to be a climatologist. He is a recognized expert in statistical analysis.

    http://climateaudit.org/

    Here is another website I just found. Can't vouch for it. Seems to touch on the main points of the skeptics anyway. Do your own research on the skeptics and explain why are they are wrong if you don't like it.

    http://www.climategate.com/

    He is not a climatologist therefore I cannot trust his analysis. This is not his area of expertise.

    Here is this too.

    This post was edited by Spartzilla on 5/24/2012 at 7:39 AM

    Thinning sea ice affects ozone chemistry with implications for mercury contamination

    http://researchmatters.noaa.gov/news/Pages/arcticozone.aspx

    researchmatters.noaa.gov
    signature image signature image signature image

    Spartzilla

  • Spartzilla said...

    He is not a climatologist therefore I cannot trust his analysis. This is not his area of expertise.

    Here is this too.

    I knew someone was going to say that. He never claimed to be a climatologist. He is an expert in statistical analysis. He has challenged the statistical methods and sampling used to create the infamous hockey stick graph that was an important tool used to sell the Warmist theory.

    He doesn't dispute that some warming has occurred. I don't believe has has rejected the Warmist theory outright. He has only challenged some the methods that some of the Warmists have used to support their findings. He is well qualified to do so.

    Συν ται η επι ται! Syn tai e epi tai! Ή ταν ή επί τας! E tan i epi tas!

    CVSpartan

  • Climate Change Economic Analysis

    http://www.lomborg.com/

    Check it out. This guy is not a climatologist. He is as Professor who analyzes only the cost vs. benefits of fighting climate change.

    This post was edited by CVSpartan on 5/24/2012 at 8:51 AM

    Συν ται η επι ται! Syn tai e epi tai! Ή ταν ή επί τας! E tan i epi tas!

    CVSpartan

  • CVSpartan said...

    I am shocked that you Warmists are completely ignorant of the arguments made by the climate change skeptics. Have you been living in caves the last several years?

    Here is a good site by a critic of the statistical analyses made by leading warmists. He does not claim to be a climatologist. He is a recognized expert in statistical analysis.

    http://climateaudit.org/

    Here is another website I just found. Can't vouch for it. Seems to touch on the main points of the skeptics anyway. Do your own research on the skeptics and explain why are they are wrong if you don't like it.

    http://www.climategate.com/

    YOU just said that scientists other than climatologists are unable to comment on GCC. Now they are?

    I must be crazy to be in a loony bin like this.

    RP McMurphy