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tOfficial 2012 Election Prediction Thread

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7 months ago

Let's set the stage for election predictions. Please chime in below with your official predictions. Feel free to share your own electoral map by using this site or another site: http://electoralmap.net/2012/myPrediction.php
Here are some categories ...
Presidential Election, US Popular Vote Percentage
Presidential Election, Electoral College Vote
US Senate, Seats Won by Democrats and Seats Won By Republicans
US House of Representatives, Seats Won By Democrats and Seats Won By Republicans
Michigan, Ballot Proposals 1-6
And feel free to make predictions for any other race you're particularly interested in.
tRCMB's Top 5 Worst Posters Power Rankings: #1 Nucky, #2 The Doctor, #3 Brodson, #4 Ghost, #5 Blanch
Vim
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7 months ago

I predict that, regardless of for whom and how you vote (and in some jurisdictions, how often), you will be disappointed.
I think we should take some of these people, and send 'em up to Bear Mountain for a picnic.
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7 months ago via 247Sports Mobile

Bob Sakimano said...
Presidential Popular Vote: Obama wins 50.5 to 49.5
Electoral College: Obama wins 298 to 240
US Senate: Democrats: 51 seats
US House of Reps: Republicans 238, Democrats 197
Michigan Ballot Proposals - all voted down

So you have Colorado and Virginia going to Obama but New Mexico going to Romney?
That's the only realistic way to get to 298-240
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7 months ago

T-Pain said...
So you have Colorado and Virginia going to Obama but New Mexico going to Romney?
That's the only realistic way to get to 298-240

Bob has New Mexico going to Romney....
That is devastating news for Obama....

This post was edited by bigwali on 11/5/2012 at 9:15 AM
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7 months ago

Here is how I see it falling.
Romney - 51.3%
Obama - 48.2%
Johnson - 0.5%
The Electoral College will be as follows:
Romney/Ryan - 285
Obama/ Biden - 253
bigwali
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7 months ago

Michigan proposals: All will fail except Proposal 1 which will win by a narrow margin.
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7 months ago

Obama 50.5% popular vote
Electoral college 307 - 231 Obama
GOP loses maybe 20-25 seats. Impossible to lose too many after latest redistricting with GOP governors and Legislatures
US Senate - Democrats pick up IN, MA, WI. Retain MO and ME's new independent caucuses with the Democrats
Proposals The only one that has a shot of passing is 1

This post was edited by GRR Spartan on 11/5/2012 at 9:26 AM
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7 months ago

GRR Spartan said...
Obama 50.5% popular vote
Electoral college 307 - 231 Obama
GOP loses maybe 20-25 seats. Impossible to lose too many after latest redistricting with GOP governors and Legislatures
US Senate - Democrats pick up IN, MA, WI. Retain MO and ME's new independent caucuses with the Democrats
Proposals The only one that has a shot of passing is 1

Democrats should also retain CT.
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7 months ago

faygo said...
Democrats should also retain CT.

The key seat that I want the GOP to lose is Eric Cantor..that guy is the biggest POS in office..
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7 months ago

GRR Spartan said...
Obama 50.5% popular vote
Electoral college 307 - 231 Obama

GRR really going out on a limb, echoing Nate Silver's prediction.

Nate Silver - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/author/nate-silver/
fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com
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7 months ago

No more limb than your passing on a 13 month hiatus.
I have subscribed to Nate Silver's algorithms since his PECOTA days. Why change now.
GRR Spartan
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7 months ago

Romney 320
Obama 218
If Romney wins Pennsylvania and Ohio it could get ugly quick. Romney ends up winning New Mexico, North Carolina, Virginia, Iowa, New Hampshire, Colorado, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida. Obama wins Michigan, Minnesota, and Nevada.
Romney could lose Pennsylvania and Ohio and still end up with 277 electoral votes.
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7 months ago

i'll go 290-248 obama...... I'll give romney NC, Virginia and florida (that will be a sqeeker and i see lawsuits happening if it is close)..... and Obama wins Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Penn, New hampshire, Nevada and Colorado

This post was edited by sarcyspice on 11/5/2012 at 10:15 AM
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7 months ago

Obama in a blowout, 332 to to 206. He's closer in FL than Romney is in PA, WI or OH.
tRCMB - Visit at your own risk of being disgusted.
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7 months ago

Im about 80% Obama will win.
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7 months ago via 247Sports Mobile

Izzo Court said...
Romney 320
Obama 218
If Romney wins Pennsylvania and Ohio it could get ugly quick. Romney ends up winning New Mexico, North Carolina, Virginia, Iowa, New Hampshire, Colorado, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida. Obama wins Michigan, Minnesota, and Nevada.
Romney could lose Pennsylvania and Ohio and still end up with 277 electoral votes.

^^^^ Delusional
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7 months ago

482
56
"Put your mother in a straight-jacket you punk ass white boy." ~ Mike Tyson
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7 months ago

bigwali said...
GRR really going out on a limb, echoing Nate Silver's prediction.

LOL GRR's such a phoney
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7 months ago

Romney 52% popular vote
Romney 311-227 in EV
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7 months ago via 247Sports Mobile

Presidential Popular Vote: Obama wins 50.7 to 49.3
Electoral College: Obama wins 301 to 237
US Senate: Democrats: 52 seats
US House of Reps: Republicans 237, Democrats 198
Michigan Ballot Proposals - Prop 1 passes, the other 5 fall
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7 months ago

Gob_Bluth said...
Obama in a blowout, 332 to to 206. He's closer in FL than Romney is in PA, WI or OH.

How I see it too.
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7 months ago

First tie ever in Dixville Notch! Today is going to be insane...
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7 months ago

Presidential Election, US Popular Vote Percentage:
Obama: 50.9%
Romney: 48.3%
Presidential Election, Electoral College Vote:
Obama: 303
Romney: 235
US Senate, Seats Won by Democrats and Seats Won By Republicans:
Democrats: 53
Republicans: 47
Trevor Barnes
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7 months ago via 247Sports Mobile

I am not going to predict electoral votes without the map in front of me. But Romney is going to win by talking Florida and Ohio.
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7 months ago

SpartanGA said...
I am not going to predict electoral votes without the map in front of me. But Romney is going to win by talking Florida and Ohio.

talk is cheap... not sure how Romney is gonna win with that strategy.
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